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Red235
138984.9
650429.9
511594.1
Blue290
374871.9
446461.3
623981.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192197150250235290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.11.8
84.286.0
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
red by 12.2
81.85.2
69.174.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End43.5
Second
1389
#13
84.91.8
76.378.1
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9
red by 13.0
3748
#15
71.95.2
58.463.7
Auto8.0
Teleop38.6
End25.2
Third
6504
#38
29.91.8
22.724.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.1
End5.1
blue by 31.5
61.35.2
59.264.4
Auto5.1
Teleop23.2
End33.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed