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Red215
61252.8
394189.0
111196.2
Blue305
62384.4
189599.2
171967.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237268100200300400500215305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.20.3
93.192.8
Auto11.3
Teleop47.5
End37.3
blue by 3.1
1895
#13
99.21.2
98.7100.0
Auto6.6
Teleop41.8
End50.8
Second
89.00.3
85.985.6
Auto9.6
Teleop40.7
End38.7
red by 4.6
623
#32
84.41.2
83.985.1
Auto7.9
Teleop44.7
End31.7
Third
612
#31
52.80.3
49.749.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End23.2
blue by 14.8
1719
#16
67.61.2
67.168.3
Auto9.6
Teleop33.2
End24.9