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Red305
658463.2
83693.0
463887.7
Blue191
1629101.0
337370.6
338963.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249245200300350305191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
93.01.7
88.490.1
Auto4.5
Teleop46.0
End42.5
blue by 8.0
1629
#10
101.01.2
102.2101.0
Auto10.6
Teleop51.9
End38.5
Second
87.71.7
83.184.8
Auto12.2
Teleop45.2
End30.3
red by 17.1
70.61.2
71.870.6
Auto4.9
Teleop36.3
End29.4
Third
6584
#20
63.21.7
58.660.3
Auto7.2
Teleop34.9
End21.1
blue by 0.5
3389
#19
63.71.2
64.863.7
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End24.1