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Red210
290033.3
328346.9
533893.1
Blue190
623937.6
454171.8
88851.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155156100200250210190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.14.0
72.376.3
Auto14.5
Teleop37.6
End41.0
red by 21.3
4541
#18
71.85.0
58.163.1
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End35.3
Second
3283
#24
46.94.0
41.945.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.9
End16.2
blue by 4.2
888
#15
51.13.0
44.147.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.2
End17.9
Third
2900
#27
33.34.0
36.040.0
Auto6.8
Teleop22.3
End4.2
blue by 4.3
6239
#34
37.65.0
42.547.5
Auto4.1
Teleop21.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed