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Red250
61156.3
11690.0
61497.9
Blue120
298847.1
374853.8
454171.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1991570100300400500250120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
97.94.5
83.487.8
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End49.4
red by 26.1
4541
#18
71.86.6
75.969.3
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End35.3
Second
116
#8
90.04.5
59.063.5
Auto10.6
Teleop40.9
End38.5
red by 36.2
3748
#26
53.86.6
30.123.5
Auto8.0
Teleop30.1
End15.8
Third
611
#14
56.34.5
40.645.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.1
End22.1
red by 9.2
2988
#30
47.14.0
48.744.7
Auto7.3
Teleop33.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed