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Red175
33944.5
379386.6
650521.9
Blue185
83693.0
284966.8
111196.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1512540100200300400500175185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3793
#11
86.61.2
84.986.1
Auto9.0
Teleop42.8
End34.8
blue by 9.6
96.22.8
89.286.4
Auto11.3
Teleop47.5
End37.3
Second
339
#29
44.51.2
42.443.6
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End6.4
blue by 48.5
836
#3
93.02.8
80.277.4
Auto4.5
Teleop46.0
End42.5
Third
6505
#39
21.92.0
30.032.0
Auto2.7
Teleop19.7
End-0.6
blue by 44.9
2849
#21
66.82.8
57.955.0
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed