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Red285
291449.7
111196.2
650521.9
Blue115
482128.4
374853.8
62384.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174147050100200250300285115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.24.9
86.191.0
Auto11.3
Teleop47.5
End37.3
red by 11.8
623
#32
84.41.9
86.985.0
Auto7.9
Teleop44.7
End31.7
Second
2914
#25
49.74.9
42.947.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End16.4
blue by 4.1
3748
#26
53.83.2
35.432.2
Auto8.0
Teleop30.1
End15.8
Third
6505
#39
21.98.1
32.941.0
Auto2.7
Teleop19.7
End-0.6
blue by 6.5
4821
#35
28.41.9
21.419.5
Auto7.8
Teleop20.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed