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Red256
281937.0
533893.1
83693.0
Blue225
141898.3
338963.7
597932.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191640100300400256225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.13.7
78.281.8
Auto14.5
Teleop37.6
End41.0
blue by 5.2
1418
#12
98.33.4
89.793.1
Auto9.0
Teleop42.3
End47.0
Second
836
#3
93.03.7
85.489.1
Auto4.5
Teleop46.0
End42.5
red by 29.3
3389
#19
63.73.4
42.045.4
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End24.1
Third
2819
#33
37.03.7
37.341.0
Auto4.5
Teleop25.9
End6.6
red by 4.5
5979
#23
32.53.4
31.935.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed