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Red235
61252.8
394189.0
111196.2
Blue215
594572.0
533893.1
88851.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522240100300400500235215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.20.0
95.395.3
Auto11.3
Teleop47.5
End37.3
red by 3.0
93.10.0
93.293.1
Auto14.5
Teleop37.6
End41.0
Second
89.00.0
88.188.1
Auto9.6
Teleop40.7
End38.7
red by 17.0
5945
#17
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto8.8
Teleop28.2
End35.0
Third
612
#31
52.80.0
51.951.9
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End23.2
red by 1.7
888
#15
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.2
End17.9