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Red370
4906105.8
2648114.8
1519101.7
Blue306
5897.8
405595.2
66389.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346288100200400500600370306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.80.7
114.1114.8
Auto9.9
Teleop55.7
End49.2
red by 17.0
58
#18
97.80.6
97.397.8
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End45.8
Second
4906
#28
105.80.7
105.1105.8
Auto10.1
Teleop41.1
End54.5
red by 10.6
4055
#12
95.20.6
94.695.2
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Third
101.70.7
101.1101.7
Auto16.5
Teleop50.6
End34.6
red by 12.1
663
#23
89.60.6
89.189.6
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2