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Red305
404190.6
632982.9
4564109.0
Blue395
1768103.3
125101.5
669175.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953020100200400500600305395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#13
109.00.6
107.9108.5
Auto12.8
Teleop44.7
End51.5
red by 5.7
103.31.0
103.8104.7
Auto10.9
Teleop45.7
End46.7
Second
4041
#17
90.60.6
89.590.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.4
End44.1
blue by 10.9
125
#5
101.51.0
101.9102.9
Auto20.8
Teleop41.5
End39.2
Third
82.90.6
81.882.3
Auto9.1
Teleop44.8
End29.0
red by 7.2
6691
#36
75.71.0
76.177.1
Auto7.6
Teleop39.0
End29.0