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Red200
404244.9
393064.6
4906105.8
Blue375
447380.6
125101.5
405595.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142530100300400500600200375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#28
105.80.9
102.6101.7
Auto10.1
Teleop41.1
End54.5
red by 4.3
125
#5
101.57.3
102.0109.3
Auto20.8
Teleop41.5
End39.2
Second
3930
#27
64.60.9
70.169.2
Auto7.3
Teleop21.8
End35.4
blue by 30.6
4055
#12
95.27.3
66.673.9
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Third
4042
#40
44.90.9
36.235.2
Auto8.7
Teleop23.3
End12.9
blue by 35.7
4473
#25
80.67.3
66.874.1
Auto10.0
Teleop32.4
End38.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed4%Pressure oddsEarned