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Red305
454670.9
622467.9
17297.9
Blue190
66389.6
359760.0
549179.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22721405001,0001,5002,0002,500305190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#14
97.96.0
90.896.8
Auto6.7
Teleop39.1
End52.1
red by 8.2
663
#23
89.61.3
73.071.6
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2
Second
4546
#11
70.96.0
66.572.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.8
End36.9
blue by 8.2
5491
#21
79.11.3
75.474.0
Auto5.2
Teleop36.8
End37.0
Third
6224
#22
67.96.0
57.063.0
Auto8.5
Teleop33.2
End26.1
red by 7.9
3597
#37
60.01.3
56.655.2
Auto6.2
Teleop28.7
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed