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Red280
5897.8
345146.0
632982.9
Blue257
615362.1
393064.6
550675.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223199100300400280257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#18
97.83.1
87.290.3
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End45.8
red by 21.9
5506
#24
75.94.3
66.670.9
Auto1.7
Teleop34.6
End39.6
Second
82.93.1
72.475.5
Auto9.1
Teleop44.8
End29.0
red by 18.3
3930
#27
64.64.3
78.682.9
Auto7.3
Teleop21.8
End35.4
Third
3451
#34
46.03.1
48.952.0
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End12.1
blue by 16.1
6153
#30
62.14.3
47.251.5
Auto9.9
Teleop30.9
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed