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Red195
526548.2
615362.1
454670.9
Blue285
16656.8
17297.9
66389.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1722470100200300400195285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#11
70.91.4
68.269.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.8
End36.9
blue by 27.0
172
#14
97.94.0
92.396.3
Auto6.7
Teleop39.1
End52.1
Second
6153
#30
62.11.4
58.459.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.9
End21.2
blue by 27.6
663
#23
89.64.0
81.385.3
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2
Third
5265
#39
48.21.4
46.848.2
Auto2.3
Teleop30.4
End15.5
blue by 8.6
166
#16
56.84.0
51.355.3
Auto6.9
Teleop32.6
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed