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Red321
66389.6
405595.2
5897.8
Blue212
133104.6
633787.5
550675.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295286100150200250350400450500321212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#18
97.80.7
96.497.1
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End45.8
blue by 6.7
133
#9
104.61.5
106.0104.6
Auto12.7
Teleop53.1
End38.8
Second
4055
#12
95.20.7
93.794.4
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
red by 7.7
87.51.5
89.087.5
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End44.3
Third
663
#23
89.60.7
88.288.9
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2
red by 13.7
5506
#24
75.91.5
77.475.9
Auto1.7
Teleop34.6
End39.6