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Red245
999834.6
5687119.2
1058100.6
Blue217
999671.9
133102.1
999967.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672410100200300400500600700245217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.20.3
119.6119.2
Auto10.5
Teleop58.0
End50.7
red by 17.1
133
#5
102.10.6
102.7102.1
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End48.9
Second
100.60.3
100.9100.6
Auto13.7
Teleop55.7
End31.2
red by 28.7
9996
#22
71.91.0
72.971.9
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End16.1
Third
9998
#24
34.60.6
35.234.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.9
End17.8
blue by 33.2
9999
#21
67.81.0
68.967.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End29.6