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Quarterfinal 4-32017 Summer Heat
Red322
999967.8
133102.1
999671.9
Blue145
88563.3
360951.7
31986.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218216160180200240260280320322145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#5
102.12.6
93.8→96.4
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End48.9
red by 16.1
319
#13
86.01.3
87.3→86.0
Auto7.9
Teleop39.3
End38.8
Second
9996
#22
71.94.3
58.1→62.4
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End16.1
red by 8.6
885
#16
63.31.3
64.6→63.3
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End31.0
Third
9999
#21
67.84.3
54.0→58.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End29.6
red by 16.1
3609
#8
51.71.3
53.1→51.7
Auto3.3
Teleop29.5
End18.9