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Red195
88563.3
550679.1
404174.1
Blue255
632995.5
615358.5
1058100.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2162720100400500600700195255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5506
#15
79.11.5
75.974.4
Auto3.6
Teleop31.3
End44.3
blue by 21.5
100.60.1
99.399.2
Auto13.7
Teleop55.7
End31.2
Second
4041
#18
74.11.5
64.062.5
Auto12.3
Teleop31.9
End30.0
blue by 21.4
6329
#10
95.50.1
90.490.3
Auto5.9
Teleop50.0
End39.6
Third
885
#16
63.31.5
72.771.1
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End31.0
red by 4.7
6153
#23
58.50.1
62.161.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.7
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed70%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed