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Red230
555666.6
1058100.6
360951.7
Blue195
616148.8
31986.0
405587.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362500100200300400500600700230195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.61.4
104.5103.1
Auto13.7
Teleop55.7
End31.2
red by 13.2
4055
#11
87.42.7
87.784.9
Auto5.7
Teleop35.2
End46.4
Second
5556
#12
66.61.4
67.165.6
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End30.1
blue by 19.3
319
#13
86.02.7
96.493.7
Auto7.9
Teleop39.3
End38.8
Third
51.71.4
54.653.2
Auto3.3
Teleop29.5
End18.9
red by 3.0
6161
#17
48.82.7
52.049.2
Auto6.2
Teleop24.7
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed