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Qual 232017 Summer Heat
Red260
632898.3
107175.9
360951.7
Blue245
88563.3
999967.8
5895.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2452120100300400500600700800260245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#19
98.31.7
96.8→98.6
Auto16.1
Teleop44.7
End37.5
red by 3.3
58
#9
95.02.6
97.1→99.7
Auto8.9
Teleop38.6
End47.5
Second
1071
#6
75.91.7
78.9→80.6
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End27.2
red by 8.0
9999
#21
67.84.4
44.9→49.2
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End29.6
Third
3609
#8
51.71.7
53.2→54.9
Auto3.3
Teleop29.5
End18.9
blue by 11.5
885
#16
63.32.6
63.8→66.5
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed