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Semifinal 2-12017 Summer Heat
Red215
615358.5
4564117.1
490695.3
Blue367
999671.9
133102.1
999967.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012180100400500600215367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#3
117.11.3
118.0→116.7
Auto12.7
Teleop43.9
End60.6
red by 15.0
133
#5
102.12.7
96.4→99.1
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End48.9
Second
4906
#4
95.31.3
96.1→94.8
Auto6.6
Teleop46.0
End42.7
red by 23.4
9996
#22
71.94.4
62.4→66.8
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End16.1
Third
6153
#23
58.51.3
59.4→58.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.7
End15.9
blue by 9.3
9999
#21
67.84.4
58.3→62.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End29.6