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Red306
506684.7
6101103.5
505384.8
Blue285
365684.5
553082.4
514479.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292251100200400500306285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.50.8
103.0103.8
Auto6.0
Teleop45.6
End51.8
red by 19.0
84.50.9
83.884.8
Auto6.7
Teleop37.6
End40.2
Second
5053
#11
84.80.9
84.385.1
Auto15.8
Teleop39.3
End29.7
red by 2.4
82.41.0
81.782.7
Auto11.7
Teleop39.4
End31.3
Third
5066
#19
84.70.9
84.185.0
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End45.8
red by 5.6
5144
#29
79.10.9
78.479.3
Auto5.0
Teleop36.1
End38.0