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Red215
585341.4
603345.8
6878.1
Blue145
364160.1
481971.2
609246.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177189100150250300215145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#23
78.11.6
83.585.1
Auto1.1
Teleop39.8
End37.2
red by 7.0
4819
#16
71.23.7
69.465.7
Auto8.7
Teleop31.3
End31.2
Second
6033
#32
45.81.7
42.844.6
Auto7.7
Teleop25.1
End13.0
blue by 14.3
3641
#38
60.13.7
69.165.4
Auto6.8
Teleop28.7
End24.7
Third
5853
#37
41.41.7
43.244.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End3.8
blue by 4.7
6092
#30
46.12.2
39.837.6
Auto3.0
Teleop30.3
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed