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Red195
603345.8
506684.7
438459.0
Blue255
152840.6
24058.6
655648.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217940300400195255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#19
84.70.5
79.880.4
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End45.8
red by 26.0
240
#22
58.612.1
43.655.8
Auto7.7
Teleop30.5
End20.5
Second
4384
#31
59.00.5
56.256.7
Auto5.3
Teleop30.0
End23.7
red by 10.6
6556
#33
48.514.3
27.141.4
Auto5.8
Teleop30.0
End12.7
Third
6033
#32
45.80.5
52.953.4
Auto7.7
Teleop25.1
End13.0
red by 5.3
1528
#27
40.613.2
35.648.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed