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Red305
526353.9
332286.1
439590.3
Blue306
505384.8
366884.1
107660.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2282010100300400305306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4395
#10
90.37.5
88.696.1
Auto12.8
Teleop34.9
End42.7
red by 5.5
5053
#11
84.89.1
70.980.0
Auto15.8
Teleop39.3
End29.7
Second
3322
#28
86.16.8
78.385.0
Auto11.5
Teleop41.1
End33.6
red by 2.1
3668
#13
84.18.3
74.783.0
Auto9.8
Teleop34.6
End39.7
Third
5263
#20
53.97.5
46.453.9
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End22.1
blue by 6.3
1076
#24
60.19.9
48.958.8
Auto8.7
Teleop30.3
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed