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Red256
557767.3
5053107.3
148195.1
Blue166
1023112.5
503100.6
473773.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280317100200400500600256166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.3
107.6107.3
Auto16.9
Teleop44.4
End45.9
blue by 5.2
1023
#14
112.52.9
115.3112.5
Auto14.6
Teleop44.2
End53.7
Second
1481
#20
95.10.3
95.495.1
Auto13.8
Teleop49.1
End32.1
blue by 5.5
503
#2
100.62.9
103.5100.6
Auto9.1
Teleop43.8
End47.7
Third
5577
#17
67.30.3
67.667.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End29.7
blue by 6.6
4737
#30
73.82.9
76.773.8
Auto7.6
Teleop35.1
End31.2