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Red280
557767.3
5053107.3
148195.1
Blue231
439583.8
514494.2
354777.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279274150200250300350400280231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.2
105.5105.3
Auto16.9
Teleop44.4
End45.9
red by 13.0
5144
#11
94.20.7
96.095.4
Auto8.3
Teleop42.1
End43.8
Second
1481
#20
95.10.2
93.393.1
Auto13.8
Teleop49.1
End32.1
red by 11.3
4395
#12
83.80.7
85.685.0
Auto8.1
Teleop31.5
End44.2
Third
5577
#17
67.30.2
65.565.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End29.7
blue by 9.7
3547
#21
77.00.7
78.878.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.2
End32.7