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Red120
561960.2
611628.3
613648.3
Blue165
439583.8
125080.5
590160.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1022360200300400500120165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5619
#27
60.20.3
30.430.7
Auto4.8
Teleop28.5
End26.9
blue by 23.6
4395
#12
83.84.4
95.290.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.5
End44.2
Second
6136
#39
48.30.3
38.739.0
Auto5.2
Teleop19.3
End23.8
blue by 32.2
80.54.4
64.760.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.7
End37.9
Third
6116
#35
28.30.5
46.146.6
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End2.8
blue by 32.2
60.54.4
46.542.0
Auto5.7
Teleop25.8
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed