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Red200
557767.3
590160.5
22691.5
Blue165
652849.5
267653.8
354777.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191430100300400200165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
91.50.2
85.585.3
Auto5.4
Teleop39.7
End46.4
red by 14.6
3547
#21
77.02.0
69.471.4
Auto10.1
Teleop34.2
End32.7
Second
5577
#17
67.30.2
56.155.9
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End29.7
red by 13.5
2676
#32
53.82.1
36.338.4
Auto8.7
Teleop25.3
End19.8
Third
60.50.2
56.456.2
Auto5.7
Teleop25.8
End29.0
red by 11.0
6528
#33
49.52.1
40.342.4
Auto6.7
Teleop28.0
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed