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Red140
526362.0
267653.8
152858.9
Blue260
125080.5
549893.4
360473.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1492530100200300400140260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5263
#19
62.01.0
51.950.9
Auto4.5
Teleop29.2
End28.4
blue by 31.4
5498
#16
93.40.6
88.188.6
Auto9.2
Teleop34.3
End49.9
Second
1528
#26
58.91.0
53.051.9
Auto6.2
Teleop36.0
End16.7
blue by 21.6
80.50.6
75.175.7
Auto5.0
Teleop37.7
End37.9
Third
2676
#32
53.81.4
50.749.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.3
End19.8
blue by 20.0
73.80.6
63.564.0
Auto3.9
Teleop40.9
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed