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Red255
481137.8
469106.7
283287.9
Blue205
642570.7
591569.2
267339.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255176050100150200300350400255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
106.70.5
106.1106.7
Auto10.7
Teleop49.9
End46.0
red by 36.0
6425
#10
70.70.6
70.170.7
Auto7.5
Teleop41.7
End21.5
Second
87.90.5
87.487.9
Auto5.7
Teleop45.4
End36.8
red by 18.7
69.20.6
68.669.2
Auto7.4
Teleop32.7
End29.1
Third
4811
#34
37.80.6
37.237.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.0
End12.4
blue by 1.6
2673
#26
39.40.7
38.739.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End8.0