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Red170
267339.4
591569.2
642570.7
Blue105
20167.3
663336.9
521443.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1861520100300400170105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6425
#10
70.70.2
68.468.2
Auto7.5
Teleop41.7
End21.5
red by 3.4
201
#13
67.31.2
67.766.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.5
End36.3
Second
69.20.2
66.966.7
Auto7.4
Teleop32.7
End29.1
red by 25.6
5214
#24
43.61.2
44.042.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.9
End12.5
Third
2673
#26
39.40.2
36.836.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End8.0
red by 2.6
36.91.2
37.336.1
Auto0.9
Teleop30.2
End5.7