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Red260
521443.6
283287.9
363239.3
Blue40
519728.0
506532.4
450728.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410705015020025026040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.914.4
64.979.2
Auto5.7
Teleop45.4
End36.8
red by 55.5
5065
#38DQ
32.47.1
40.433.3
Auto2.5
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
5214
#24
43.68.6
18.326.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.9
End12.5
red by 15.2
4507
#32
28.47.1
34.527.4
Auto2.2
Teleop25.7
End0.5
Third
3632
#29
39.314.4
32.747.0
Auto3.4
Teleop24.3
End11.7
red by 11.4
5197
#27
28.07.1
29.021.9
Auto3.5
Teleop29.6
End-5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed