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Red255
317550.2
118957.9
523957.1
Blue215
481137.8
485166.0
204867.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144113050200250300255215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#22
57.912.7
39.852.5
Auto7.2
Teleop37.2
End13.4
blue by 9.2
2048
#12
67.010.7
40.451.0
Auto5.1
Teleop37.0
End24.9
Second
5239
#14
57.112.7
40.553.2
Auto8.7
Teleop33.4
End15.0
blue by 8.9
4851
#23
66.010.7
49.560.1
Auto11.5
Teleop25.4
End29.0
Third
3175
#16
50.212.7
52.364.9
Auto7.2
Teleop33.7
End9.3
red by 12.4
4811
#34
37.811.4
22.233.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed