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Red85
522520.6
481545.9
506532.4
Blue100
575674.7
555543.8
547826.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11417905015020025030035085100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#15
45.92.9
46.643.7
Auto4.3
Teleop33.1
End8.5
blue by 28.9
74.74.4
76.672.1
Auto5.9
Teleop45.8
End23.0
Second
5065
#38
32.42.9
36.833.9
Auto2.5
Teleop24.5
End5.4
blue by 11.4
5555
#18
43.85.9
49.343.4
Auto4.8
Teleop31.4
End7.6
Third
5225
#21
20.63.1
34.231.1
Auto2.0
Teleop28.5
End-10.0
blue by 6.1
5478
#19
26.75.9
35.429.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed