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Red145
481137.8
591569.2
475828.5
Blue130
309644.4
653242.7
656640.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139128050100200250300350400145130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.21.1
65.866.9
Auto7.4
Teleop32.7
End29.1
red by 24.8
3096
#17
44.40.5
42.943.4
Auto3.6
Teleop36.9
End3.9
Second
4811
#34
37.81.2
37.338.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.0
End12.4
blue by 4.9
6532
#35
42.70.5
42.242.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End18.2
Third
4758
#25
28.51.0
27.628.5
Auto3.9
Teleop25.4
End-0.8
blue by 12.3
6566
#28
40.80.5
38.138.6
Auto1.6
Teleop42.2
End-3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed