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Red284
423792.8
217117.2
910104.2
Blue286
8599.9
4391116.6
2619106.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347363200250300400450500284286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#1
117.20.7
118.0117.2
Auto16.1
Teleop50.5
End50.7
red by 0.6
116.61.1
117.8116.6
Auto15.8
Teleop53.7
End47.2
Second
910
#9
104.20.7
104.9104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop49.3
End39.8
blue by 2.6
2619
#21
106.71.1
107.9106.7
Auto15.6
Teleop48.1
End43.1
Third
4237
#30
92.80.7
93.692.8
Auto13.2
Teleop36.8
End42.8
blue by 7.1
85
#22
99.91.1
101.099.9
Auto11.6
Teleop46.3
End42.0