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Red441
6753105.9
1506112.5
436291.3
Blue425
6117107.4
654886.9
1596101.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3683190100200400500600700441425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.5
115.8116.3
Auto13.2
Teleop46.3
End53.0
red by 5.2
6117
#13
107.40.7
106.7107.4
Auto7.2
Teleop53.8
End46.4
Second
6753
#11
105.90.5
109.2109.7
Auto10.8
Teleop52.3
End42.8
red by 4.7
1596
#16
101.20.7
100.5101.2
Auto8.6
Teleop45.3
End47.3
Third
4362
#12
91.30.5
94.695.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End34.8
red by 4.4
86.90.7
86.286.9
Auto8.2
Teleop47.3
End31.4