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Red266
302103.1
436291.3
523097.4
Blue305
654886.9
438189.7
610194.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301303240260280320340360380266305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#24
103.11.4
110.5109.2
Auto12.8
Teleop44.5
End45.8
red by 8.9
6101
#29
94.21.1
106.8107.9
Auto11.3
Teleop46.1
End36.8
Second
5230
#33
97.41.4
87.586.1
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End41.9
red by 7.7
4381
#27
89.71.1
94.295.3
Auto10.0
Teleop36.8
End43.0
Third
4362
#12
91.31.4
88.487.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End34.8
red by 4.4
86.91.1
86.988.1
Auto8.2
Teleop47.3
End31.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed