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Red327
423792.8
217117.2
910104.2
Blue160
436291.3
1506112.5
6753105.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3443650100200300400500600700327160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#1
117.20.3
117.3117.6
Auto16.1
Teleop50.5
End50.7
red by 4.7
112.53.6
116.1112.5
Auto13.2
Teleop46.3
End53.0
Second
910
#9
104.20.3
104.2104.5
Auto15.1
Teleop49.3
End39.8
blue by 1.8
6753
#11
105.93.6
109.5105.9
Auto10.8
Teleop52.3
End42.8
Third
4237
#30
92.80.3
92.993.2
Auto13.2
Teleop36.8
End42.8
red by 1.6
4362
#12
91.33.6
94.891.3
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End34.8