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Red408
3542103.3
494122.6
7099.2
Blue205
24579.6
5150114.7
5436107.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395339200300500600408205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
122.60.5
124.9124.4
Auto16.3
Teleop61.0
End45.3
red by 7.9
5150
#11
114.72.5
119.4116.9
Auto13.1
Teleop51.2
End50.4
Second
3542
#22
103.30.5
105.7105.1
Auto12.7
Teleop43.2
End47.5
blue by 4.3
5436
#19
107.62.5
112.3109.8
Auto13.9
Teleop50.5
End43.3
Third
70
#35
99.20.5
101.5101.0
Auto11.6
Teleop50.0
End37.6
red by 19.5
245
#37
79.62.5
84.381.8
Auto9.9
Teleop39.1
End30.6