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Red373
2611115.1
33139.4
12396.7
Blue255
5567113.5
5048100.0
5150114.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336335260280300320360380400420373255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
139.43.5
129.8133.2
Auto20.3
Teleop63.1
End56.0
red by 24.7
5150
#11
114.74.5
113.8109.3
Auto13.1
Teleop51.2
End50.4
Second
115.13.5
109.6113.1
Auto11.0
Teleop57.6
End46.5
red by 1.6
5567
#15
113.54.5
106.6102.1
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End53.2
Third
123
#31
96.73.5
76.780.2
Auto13.9
Teleop35.5
End47.4
blue by 3.3
5048
#25
100.04.5
101.697.1
Auto12.8
Teleop41.0
End46.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed