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Red353
3098105.7
4967118.5
5436107.6
Blue300
661884.5
2474111.0
432594.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343281100200400500600353300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.52.3
113.3115.7
Auto23.3
Teleop52.6
End42.7
red by 7.6
2474
#20
111.01.3
107.9109.2
Auto13.2
Teleop48.5
End49.2
Second
5436
#19
107.62.3
106.8109.1
Auto13.9
Teleop50.5
End43.3
red by 13.5
4325
#16
94.11.3
96.898.1
Auto12.3
Teleop48.1
End33.7
Third
3098
#12
105.72.3
98.0100.3
Auto11.1
Teleop49.4
End45.2
red by 21.2
6618
#29
84.51.3
70.571.8
Auto6.2
Teleop45.0
End33.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
10%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed