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Red295
432794.5
642594.6
469117.8
Blue383
7099.2
1684115.9
33139.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307390100200500600295383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#23
117.82.5
116.6114.1
Auto14.2
Teleop48.8
End54.8
blue by 21.6
33
#1
139.40.5
137.0136.5
Auto20.3
Teleop63.1
End56.0
Second
6425
#18
94.62.5
93.390.8
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End39.9
blue by 21.3
1684
#21
115.90.5
116.1115.6
Auto15.5
Teleop51.3
End49.2
Third
4327
#32
94.52.5
92.790.2
Auto9.8
Teleop39.5
End45.2
blue by 4.7
70
#35
99.20.5
106.9106.5
Auto11.6
Teleop50.0
End37.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed64%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed