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Semifinal 1-22017 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red450
469117.8
33139.4
283496.1
Blue262
2611115.1
4967118.5
432594.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410391200250300350450500550450262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
139.40.0
138.3→138.3
Auto20.3
Teleop63.1
End56.0
red by 20.9
4967
#4
118.51.6
120.1→118.5
Auto23.3
Teleop52.6
End42.7
Second
469
#23
117.80.0
116.7→116.7
Auto14.2
Teleop48.8
End54.8
red by 2.7
2611
#9
115.11.6
116.7→115.1
Auto11.0
Teleop57.6
End46.5
Third
2834
#7
96.10.0
94.9→94.9
Auto11.6
Teleop48.0
End36.5
red by 1.9
4325
#16
94.11.6
95.7→94.1
Auto12.3
Teleop48.1
End33.7