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Red289
556190.0
2337125.5
107108.8
Blue330
440599.2
5509108.3
20193.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363357100200300400500600700289330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.51.7
129.1127.4
Auto27.3
Teleop47.3
End50.9
red by 17.3
108.31.2
110.5109.4
Auto11.4
Teleop56.2
End40.7
Second
107
#7
108.81.7
112.4110.7
Auto14.6
Teleop45.0
End49.2
red by 9.6
99.21.2
101.5100.3
Auto10.6
Teleop42.0
End46.6
Third
5561
#30
90.01.7
93.691.9
Auto8.9
Teleop34.8
End46.3
blue by 3.7
201
#39
93.81.2
96.194.9
Auto8.1
Teleop40.6
End45.1