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Red346
556190.0
2337125.5
107108.8
Blue457
6899.8
477992.4
546298.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376358300400450346457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.50.4
132.5132.1
Auto27.3
Teleop47.3
End50.9
red by 25.7
68
#17
99.81.4
98.5100.0
Auto12.9
Teleop55.2
End31.7
Second
107
#7
108.80.4
115.8115.3
Auto14.6
Teleop45.0
End49.2
red by 10.2
5462
#13
98.61.4
97.398.8
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End46.3
Third
5561
#30
90.00.4
97.096.6
Auto8.9
Teleop34.8
End46.3
blue by 2.4
4779
#12
92.41.4
91.192.6
Auto10.9
Teleop46.7
End34.8