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Red481
517385.5
3770112.0
1918107.4
Blue453
548105.6
894105.6
3875104.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3463370100200300400500600700481453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.2
111.4112.6
Auto14.1
Teleop56.9
End41.1
red by 6.5
548
#27
105.60.9
104.8105.7
Auto12.3
Teleop47.1
End46.2
Second
107.41.2
106.8108.0
Auto8.6
Teleop52.5
End46.2
red by 1.9
894
#10
105.60.9
104.8105.6
Auto15.0
Teleop46.6
End44.0
Third
5173
#24
85.51.2
84.986.1
Auto8.3
Teleop38.0
End39.2
blue by 19.4
3875
#14
104.90.9
104.1105.0
Auto14.4
Teleop46.3
End44.3