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Red395
20193.8
5509108.3
440599.2
Blue395
4003112.4
3538120.5
5675107.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345406100200300500600395395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.3
Auto11.4
Teleop56.2
End40.7
blue by 12.3
120.5
Auto13.9
Teleop53.8
End52.9
Second
99.2
Auto10.6
Teleop42.0
End46.6
blue by 13.2
4003
#15
112.4
Auto14.5
Teleop47.7
End50.3
Third
201
#39
93.8
Auto8.1
Teleop40.6
End45.1
blue by 13.2
5675
#19
107.0
Auto9.8
Teleop47.0
End50.2